Special offers for conference delegates

We have teamed up with Visit Brighton to get some special offers which are available for all delegates to take advantage of while in Brighton. Why not check out a local restaurant or attraction during your stay?

Some more on Statistical Engineering

My previous comments on problem solving lead me to think about how I might illustrate the use of statistical methods in directly solving engineering problems. I have been involved in many interesting and challenging problems in my 30 years in the automotive industry. The recent media coverage of both the Toyota problem with sticking accelerator pedals and the BP oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico caused me to think back to my involvement in a similarly high profile case - the Firestone tire crisis of 2000/1, which resulted in around 300 fatalities and a $3Bn recall of 20 million tyres. There are many similarities in all three of these cases (not least the role of the media, and government agencies), but in the case of Firestone, I will show how a range of statistical methods was used (from simple EDA methods like box plots, to more sophisticated methods such as competing risk proportional hazard regression) to get to the root cause of the problem, and to quickly get ahead of the game, and decide on what actions to take, before the regulatory authorities told us what to do.

Statistical Engineering - more thoughts

Some statistically based initiatives aimed at solving engineering and quality problems often tend to over-emphasise empirical methods at the expense of deductive logic; the Six Sigma movement is a good example of this – the problem solving algorithm of Define, Measure, Analyze, Improve, and Control (see for example http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Six_Sigma for some background to what these steps entail) puts great store in solving problems by measuring lots of characteristics, and analysing the resulting data. However, Six Sigma has nothing to say about eliminating hypotheses through deductive logic. In my Brighton talk, I will introduce a simple method to facilitate this step in problem solving and root cause determination, so that an empirical approach using statistical methods can then be better targeted. This method is not taught in Six Sigma classes (groping around in Minitab output for “significant” p-values seems to be the preferred approach), or even referenced in statistical texts; which is strange given the central role of statistical methods generally in problem solving.

Tim Davis

Statistical Engineering

I have started to think about what I want to say on Statistical Engineering at the RSS conference in Brighton next month. I have been thinking a lot about the iterative learning cycle involving the interchange between inductive and deductive logic; as statisticians, do we pay enough attention to this distinction? It seems to me that the scientific context of the problems we are involved in solving should play a central role in this iteration. I will say something about this with regard to engineering problems.... but what do statisticians working in other fields think about this? Your thoughts ahead of conference would be welcome...

Tim Davis

Young Statistician's Training Day- Monday 13 September

Looking forward to the YSS pre-conference training day. This year we have presentations on

- A young statisticians experience of the RSS conference
- Creating posters with impact
- How to market yourself and network at the conference

In the afternoon there will be a workshop on how to write a good conference abstract. The session aims to

- provide examples of good and bad abstracts
- explain the conference committee guidelines for accepting abstracts
- feature working in groups to create an abstract for an article from Significance to be reviewed using the committee guidelines.

Prizes will be awarded for the best abstract!

See you there,

Paul Baxter (YSS Secretary)

Social events at RSS 2010

After coming back from our site visit in Brighton, we are really looking forward to the evening events during conference week.

We are just putting the finishing touches together for our social events, however we can guarantee something for everyone! Whether it’s increasing your knowledge for aquatic sea life by enjoying the fantastic scenery at the Sea Life Centre, testing your driving skills on the dodgems, holding your nerve on the roller coaster ride at our event on the pier or joining us for our evening drinks reception followed by dinner on the seafront, we are confident a good time will be had by all.

On the Waterfront: Welcome from the conference chair

If there is anyone who has not seen Marlon Brando in the film On the Waterfront, then they can get the video. But, if you miss the RSS `On the Waterfront` Conference, there will not be a second chance. Let me, therefore, extend an invitation to all to join us at the Brighton Convention Centre from September 13th to 17th for both a scientific and waterfront experience.

The Programme Committee have put together conference sessions which we hope will have appeal to all in the Society. Our aim was to provide the opportunity to both engage with others working in members’ particular areas of interest and to allow all who attend to learn something of work in other areas. The many areas will be of interest in themselves but will also provide insight into how the challenges of our subject cut across areas and reflect the unity and diversity of our society.

In particular, we look forward to the plenary sessions, one organized by our Significance staff, and others that will feature Tim Davis on statistical engineering, Peter Donnelly on statistical genetics, Robert Groves on censuses,  Nancy Reid on likelihood, and Robert Stine on financial statistics. There will also be another `retrospective read paper’, presented by Rob Tibshirani on the lasso.

The systematic component of the conference has two aspects, the scientific programme and the range of social events. The latter includes a welcome reception at the Brighton Sealife Centre, a fish and chips evening on Brighton Pier and the conference dinner, all conveniently located `on the waterfront’. The random component also has two elements, who will be there and the weather. The uncertainty of the weather we cannot control but we can be hopeful. The uncertainty of the attendees has been reduced by our many committed speakers. I hope that many others will join them and help reduce uncertainty further by visiting www.rss.org.uk/rss2010 where the conference programme can be seen and where you can register for the conference, with 10% discounts still available

Please do consider joining us.

Vern Farewell
Chair, Programme Committee, RSS 2010